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Client
Vibrant Planet
Website
vibrantplanet.net
Market Sector
Environmental Technology
Program Duration
2 Years
Services

Systems Thinking
Stakeholder Engagement
User-Centric Design
AI and Data Integration
Product Strategy & Concept
Development
UI/UX Design

Tahoe Basin Deployment
1.5 million acres
secured in seed funding
funding
$34million total
$17M initial, $15M Series A
Expanding Coverage
Now managing 7 million acres
Growing Team
Experts from academia, U.S. Forest Service, Bureau of Land Management, and NASA

Vibrant Planet

Reshaping Forest Management: Kei's Collaboration with Vibrant Planet on Land Tender

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Introduction

In the face of escalating climate change and increasingly devastating wildfires, the need for innovative approaches to forest management has never been more critical. This case study delves into Kei's multi-year collaboration with Vibrant Planet to develop Land Tender, a groundbreaking platform that is revolutionizing how we approach ecological resilience and wildfire mitigation.

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The Challenge: A Burning Crisis

California's forests were at a critical juncture. In 2020 alone, wildfires resulted in staggering losses:

$3-4 trillion

in ecosystem benefit losses at current market valuation

$63 billion

in public health impacts

$2.3 billion

in fire suppression costs

20 years

of lost profitability for the insurance industry due to structure damage and loss

With the potential loss of a large portion of California's forests looming in the next 15-20 years, urgent action was needed. However, the complexity of the issue demanded a nuanced approach. Not all fires are detrimental, and not every tree contributes positively to forest health. The consequences of inaction were dire: increased mass mortality, severe climate impacts, water scarcity, disruption of California's food system, and significant threats to human health.

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Kei's Approach:
Systems Thinking in Action

We approached the complex challenge of forest management with a comprehensive, systems-thinking methodology. Recognizing the interconnected nature of the issues, we developed a multi-faceted approach to address various aspects simultaneously.

Comprehensive Stakeholder Engagement

We conducted over 100 interviews, contextual inquiries, and co-design sessions across California. Our goal was to understand forest management from multiple perspectives, engaging stakeholders from US Forest Service land managers to Calfire's top management, scientists, emergency responders, policymakers, and industry representatives.

Identifying Core Needs

Our extensive research phase yielded key insights that formed the basis of Land Tender's product strategy. We identified specific needs across various stakeholder groups, from scientists and policy makers to ecosystem professionals and the general public. These findings shaped our approach to developing Land Tender's features and functionality.

Current State
New State
Low resolution, questionably accurate vegetation and fuels data, updated every few years
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Scalable, reliable, high-resolution data layers in one place, collated, normalized, synthesized, cross-checked, and dynamically updated
Siloed and aging tools to support decision-making, none user-friendly
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Accessible, user friendly planning, predictive decision support tools; 'SimCity-like' scenario building - weighing tradeoffs between impacts and benefits of land use decisions
6 yr avg to move a project from planning to implementation
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Easier collaboration between team members and agencies – leading to streamlined planning & documentation
Limited, empirically based monitoring
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Comprehensive, timely monitoring and progress tracking informed by high temporal and spatial resolution remote sensing
75% of resources spent on suppression
100k acres treated per year
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75% of resources spent on restoration
3 million acres restored per year
Significant skill (GIS, modeling) and time gaps (time to solutions)
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Teams empowered to do planning and prioritization with science-based decision support; location-specific AI-enhanced optimization and treatment types
Lack of consensus on what resiliency looks like
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Clear definitions of what conditions support long-term resilience and how to measure
Stakeholder and public education challenges
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Mechanisms to help build public trust; Easier ways to educate stakeholders and the general public
Need to support a broad range of stakeholders
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A common collaboration platform with easy to understand visualizations and easily accessed dashboard views

Multi-scale Design

We recognized the need for a solution that could operate at various scales, from global policy making to local interventions. This multi-scale approach ensures that Land Tender can provide valuable insights and tools for decision-makers at all levels, addressing the interconnected nature of forest ecosystems and management practices.

AI and Data Integration

Leveraging advanced AI and machine learning, we created a system capable of processing vast amounts of environmental data, maintaining current forest maps, and providing predictive modeling for various scenarios. This integration of cutting-edge technology allows Land Tender to offer unprecedented insights and forecasting capabilities.

User-Centric Design

We focused on creating an intuitive interface accessible to all stakeholders, from seasoned forest managers to local community leaders. By prioritizing usability, we ensured that Land Tender's sophisticated capabilities would be accessible and actionable for users across different levels of technical expertise.

This approach allowed us to create a solution that addresses the complex challenges of forest management from multiple angles, setting the foundation for Land Tender's transformative impact on forest resilience strategies.

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Research Synthesis and Product Strategy

Our extensive research phase yielded key insights that formed the basis of Land Tender's product strategy. This synthesis revealed specific needs across various stakeholder groups:

Scientists

  • Easily accessed, harmonized data sets
  • High resolution landscape structure information

Ecosystem Professionals

  • Connection to decision makers and general public
  • Expedited project planning, validation, and execution
  • Easily communicated project plan scenarios and visualizations
  • Easy-to-use decision making support tools to aid with both long-term strategies and short term solutions

Industry

  • Corporations
  • Insurance
  • Agriculture
  • Energy & Infrastructure
  • Emergency Management
  • Education & Research
  • Real Estate

Policy Makers

  • Connection to Land Managers and the General Public
  • Easily understood views of ecological health
  • Easily understood decision making support tools to aid with long-term strategies and short term solutions

General Public

  • Connection to Land Managers and Decision Makers
  • Easily located maps and visualizations of relevance (my house, my neighborhood)
  • Easily understood project plans
  • Actionable defensible space tools and resources
  • Easy access to emergency planning information

This comprehensive understanding of stakeholder needs informed every aspect of Land Tender's development, ensuring the platform would create value for each group while encouraging cross-sector collaboration and engagement.

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The Framework for Resilience

Our collaboration with the US Forest Service revealed an ongoing effort by a diverse multi-agency team to develop a conceptual framework for resilience. This team of scientists, land managers, and policy makers had been working for years to create a comprehensive perspective on land management, considering a wide range of benefits from resilient socio-ecological systems. Their work culminated in the identification of ten key landscape outcomes, termed the "pillars of resilience."

The underlying metrics of this framework are complex, interconnected, and far-reaching. We worked closely with the multi-agency team to integrate their insights into Land Tender's decision support system. This collaboration led to the co-development of a 'resilience scorecard,' enabling users to evaluate landscape metrics across multiple scales.

To aid in communicating this complex framework, we created a visualization that captures the essence of the resilience pillars at a glance. This visual tool not only serves as an integral part of Land Tender but has also been adopted by the US Forest Service for their broader communications, underscoring its effectiveness in conveying these critical concepts.

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The Pillars of Resilience

We created this visualization to help people understand the framework 'at-a-glance'. The visualization is also currently in use by the USFS.

Use the arrows to see more detail on individual pillars.

Carbon Sequestration

Carbon sequestration is enhanced in a stable and sustainable manner that yields multiple ecological and social benefits.

Elements

  • Quantity
  • Quality
  • Storage and timing

Benefits

  • Maintained or increased water storage to support human uses
  • Maintained or improved water quality
  • Maintained or enhanced healthy river systems
  • Maintain or enhanced flood control

Water Security

Water reliability, quantity, and quality are buffered against precipitation variability and disturbance through the integrity of forests and their watersheds.

Elements

  • Quantity
  • Quality
  • Storage and timing

Benefits

  • Maintained or increased water storage to support human uses
  • Maintained or improved water quality
  • Maintained or enhanced healthy river systems
  • Maintain or enhanced flood control

Social and Cultural Well-Being

Quality environmental conditions that afford a connection to place and nature, recreational opportunities, human health, cultural identities and practices, and shared stewardship.

Elements

  • Public health
  • Engagement
  • Recreation quality
  • Equitable opportunity

Benefits

  • Reduced public health impacts
  • Maintained or improved availability of culturally valued resources
  • Maintained or improved public and tribal engagement in natural resource management and conservation
  • Maintained or improved recreation experiences

Fire-Adapted Community

Communities live safely with fire, and are accepting of management and natural ecological dynamics. Beneficial fire is supported. There is sufficient capacity to manage desired fire and suppress unwanted fire.

Elements

  • Hazard
  • Preparedness

Benefits

  • Reduced threat of wildfire to human communities
  • Enhanced capacity to respond to immanent threat from fires
  • Increased acceptance and support for the use of managed and prescribed fire as the most effective tool to reduce the threat of fire to communities

Fire Dynamics

Fire burns in an ecologically beneficial and socially acceptable way that perpetuates landscape heterogeneity and rarely threatens human safety or infrastructure.

Elements

  • Hazard
  • Preparedness

Benefits

  • Reduced risk of large high severity fires
  • Reduced threat of fire to communities and infrastructure
  • Increased role of fire in creating and maintaining desired conditions
  • Increased capacity to contain landscape fire (wild or prescribed)

Forest Resilience

Vegetation composition and structure are in alignment with topography, desired disturbance dynamics, and landscape conditions, and adapted to anticipated climate change effects.

Elements

  • Structure
  • Composition
  • Disturbance

Benefits

  • Increased drought tolerance – reduced risk of drought induced tree mortality
  • Increased large tree occurrence
  • Increased old forest habitat security
  • Maintain or increase tree species diversity

Biodiversity Conservation

The network of native species and ecological communities is sufficiently abundant and distributed across the landscape to support and sustain their full suite of ecological and cultural roles.

Elements

  • Focal species
  • Species diversity
  • Community integrity

Benefits

  • Maintained or increased focal species habitat
  • Maintained or increased functional group ability to provide ecosystem services
  • Maintained or increased community diversity and adaptive capacity

Wetland Integrity

Meadow and riparian ecosystems have functional hydrology and biology such that they provide multiple ecosystem services, including water storage, flow regulation, sediment capture, stream bank stability, carbon sequestration, and high biodiversity.

Elements

  • Structure
  • Composition
  • Hydrologic function

Benefits

  • Maintained or increased sediment, water, and carbon holding capacity
  • Maintained or restored native species diversity
  • Maintained or restored wetland occurrence

Economic Diversity

Forest and wetland management and outdoor activities support a sustainable natural resource-based economy, particularly in rural communities. Forest products are harvested sustainably, and utilized at their highest and best use, promoting workforce development, revenue, and a market demand for materials generated by forest management activities.

Elements

  • Wood product industry
  • Recreation industry
  • Water industry
  • Economic health

Benefits

  • Increased capacity to process wood biomass and small diameter woody material
  • Increased revenue from natural resource-based industries that support local communities

Air Quality

Emissions from fires are limited to low and moderate fires in woodland ecosystems. Forests provide a positive contribution to air quality by capturing pollutants.

Elements

  • Particulate matter
  • Visibility
  • Greenhouse gases

Benefits

  • Maintained or increased carbon storage to help meet GHG emission objectives
  • Maximized stability of stored carbon
  • Maintained or increased carbon refugia

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The Solution: Land Tender

Land Tender emerged as a cloud-based natural resource management platform designed to accelerate and scale the restoration of resilience to rapidly changing ecological systems. Key features include:

01.
Comprehensive Data Integration

  • Consolidation of high-resolution data on vegetation, topography, infrastructure, and more
  • Integration of various data sources, including LiDAR, satellite imagery, and ground-based observations
  • Regular updates to maintain current, accurate information

02.
AI-Driven Analysis

  • Machine learning algorithms to map forests at an unprecedented fine scale
  • Continuous updating of forest maps to reflect changes in real-time
  • Predictive modeling to forecast potential outcomes of different management strategies
  • Integration of the Forest Service's FORSYS algorithm, optimized for enhanced performance

03.
Scenario Modeling

  • Real-time scenario generation to understand risk and prioritize treatments
  • Ability to model long-term impacts of different management decisions
  • Incorporation of climate change projections into scenario planning
  • Comparison of different scenarios, adjusting for factors like biodiversity or budget constraints

04.
Collaborative Tools

  • Facilitation of cooperation between various stakeholders, including NGOs, government agencies, tribal governments, and local fire districts
  • Shared workspaces for multi-agency projects
  • Tools for public engagement and education

05.
Adaptive Management

  • Real-time updates and adjustments as conditions change or new data becomes available
  • Monitoring tools to track the effectiveness of interventions over time

06.
Decision Support System

  • AI-enhanced optimization for treatment types and locations
  • Tools for weighing trade-offs between different management objectives
  • Integration of economic, ecological, and social factors in decision-making

07.
Visualization Tools

  • Advanced 3D visualization of forest landscapes
  • Before-and-after comparisons of management interventions
  • Interactive maps with 70+ layers representing various land management data
  • User-friendly interface allowing both technical and non-technical users to plan together
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Scenario Planning and Ecosystem Valuation:
A Game-Changer for Land Management

One of Land Tender's most innovative features is its sophisticated scenario planning capability, powered by AI and remote sensing technology. This tool transforms the way land managers approach ecosystem management and valuation.

Land Tender integrates over 70 layers of land management data, including natural features, human-created assets, fire danger, drought conditions, and economic potential. Users can adjust various factors - from biodiversity priorities to budget constraints - and immediately see the projected impacts on the ecosystem and local communities.

The platform's visualizations help stakeholders understand the tangible benefits of investing in ecosystem health. By providing a clear, data-driven link between land management actions and long-term ecosystem value, Land Tender is helping to reshape how we think about the economics of conservation.

The implications of this advanced scenario planning and ecosystem valuation extend far beyond forest management. Land Tender is helping to unlock a resilience economy where insurance, financial markets, and corporations are linked economically to thriving rural communities and ecosystems.

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Impact and Outcomes

Land Tender has shown promising results and attracted significant investment:

  • Tahoe Basin Deployment
    The first major customer installation covers 1.5 million acres across the Lake Tahoe Basin and surrounding critical watersheds.
  • Significant Funding
    In 2022, Vibrant Planet secured $17M in initial funding. Recently, they raised an additional $15M in a Series A round led by the Ecosystem Integrity Fund, bringing their total funding to $34 million.
  • Time-Saving:
    Land Tender significantly reduces the time required for land management collaboratives to agree on wildfire reduction plans, from decades to months or years.
  • Expanding Coverage
    Land Tender is now being used to manage 7 million acres, an area larger than the state of Vermont.
  • Paradigm Shift
    The platform is changing how land managers approach forest resilience, moving from reactive fire suppression to proactive ecosystem management.
  • Growing Team
    Vibrant Planet has assembled an impressive science team, including experts from academia, the U.S. Forest Service, Bureau of Land Management, and NASA.
  • Expanding Reach
    While California was the initial focus, Land Tender has already been implemented in other regions, demonstrating its adaptability and potential for widespread application in various fire-prone ecosystems.
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Lessons Learned

01.
The Power of Systems Thinking

By considering the entire ecosystem of forest management, from policy to on-the-ground implementation, Kei created a solution that addresses root causes rather than symptoms.

02.
User-Centric Design is Crucial

The extensive stakeholder engagement process ensured that Land Tender met real needs and would be adopted by its intended users.

03.
AI as an Enabler

By leveraging AI and machine learning, Land Tender can process vast amounts of data and provide insights that would be impossible for humans alone.

04.
Balancing Complexity and Usability

While the underlying system is highly complex, the team focused on creating an intuitive interface that various stakeholders could easily use.

05.
Adaptability is Key

The ability to pivot and adapt to changing stakeholder needs and emerging challenges was crucial to the project's success.

06.
Interdisciplinary Collaboration

The project's success hinged on bringing together experts from various fields, including ecology, data science, UX design, and policy.

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The Future

As climate change continues to impact our forests globally, tools like Land Tender will become increasingly crucial. Vibrant Planet's vision extends beyond California, aiming to create a comprehensive platform for ecological resilience that can be applied to fire-prone ecosystems worldwide.

The potential applications of Land Tender are vast:

Expanding to other types of ecosystems beyond forests

Integration with climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies

Supporting sustainable urban planning in wildland-urban interface areas

Informing policy decisions at local, state, and national levels

By bridging the gap between cutting-edge technology and on-the-ground forest management, Kei and Vibrant Planet have created a powerful tool for shaping a more resilient future for our forests and communities. Land Tender stands as a testament to the power of innovative thinking, interdisciplinary collaboration, and user-centered design in addressing some of the most pressing environmental challenges of our time.